And The Answer Is…
For those who remember Carnac The Magnificent, the answer is "management is highly confident".
Back in the dark ages of life before the internet, Johnny...
My Rally Cap is On!
The turkey hangover can last several hours or even up to a few days. You have overindulged and need to digest for a while...
The Outlook For December
I hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving. Here in Charlottesville, we celebrated with family and friends. The weather was great, the turkey awesome and...
Turkey Day is Coming…Micro-Caps Have Been Turkeys For A While
As we head into the home stretch for 2023, the markets are back in rally mode. Performing best is the S&P 500 and Nasdaq...
It’s Not A Sprint (It’s a Marathon)
This weekend is the Richmond Marathon. Billed as the "friendliest marathon", our daughter is going to be running in her first ever bid to...
Rates Cease Their Upward March (for now…)
This past week saw, to everyone investors' great relief, a much needed bounce in the markets. This was particularly true for smaller cap stocks...
In Support of the XBI
One of my mentors loved to say, "bull markets attract thieves." The point being that, any industry that was garnering investment capital would come...
Testing Support…(Not Likely to Hold in TW’s Opinion)
Last week, when discussing supply and demand, I wrote that "the landscape is tilted towards lower stock prices." That was certainly the case the...
Supply and Demand
This weekend's newsletter comes to you from Napa Valley, CA, where Mrs. Carlson and I are attending a wedding. Napa is not a bad...
Choose Wisely
I have been espousing several themes in this newsletter for quite a while now. These themes are the big picture drivers that impact our...
Time for the Little Guys to Shine…4th Quarter Preview
In college I played second row on the rugby team. Our squad was a solid group of ruggers with a core of both international...
Jumping Beans
Last week the average TW stock was down 2.8%, roughly in line with (or slightly better than) the overall market. As a group, the...
Meaningful Catalysts
This week the heat finally turned off here in Charlottesville with temperatures coming down from the 90's to a more reasonable level. Despite school...
Is the Ice Thawing? XBI Acting Slightly Better…
This past week was dreadfully dull. Volume across the board was anemic and the tone from traders was muted. August may in fact be...
Wrapping up Summer
Sadly, the dog days of summer are over. September is here and investment bankers, traders and most of Europe will be returning to work....
Know What You Own…
"The single most important thing for me in the stock market
is to know what you own." ~ Peter Lynch
It's tough out there. Markets are...
Fitch Kills The Rally
Inflation data keeps coming down, analysts continue to see an end to rate increases, yet markets are weak. What gives? My opinion, it all...
INmune Updates Shareholders and Other Thoughts
The big news this past week was INmune (INMB)'s earnings release and conference call. Or was it? The stock was down over 10% on...
Asking For Compassion From TFF
TFF Pharma has been a terrible stock. It has gone straight down for longer than I care to remember. I admit to having been...
XBI…Waiting For The Breakout
When explanations make no senseWhen every answer's wrongYou're fighting with lost confidenceAll expectations gone
If those words from Swing Out Sister's song "Breakout" don't sum...
In Search of the Holy Grail
The Holy Grail is a treasure that serves as an important motif in literature. With mystical powers, the belief is that drinking from this...
Things are Heating Up
Now that we've officially declared "Global Warming" as misleading, having rebranded it to "Climate Change", the world seems to be heating up faster than...
It’s Beach Week And The Sun Was Shining On TW’s Names
Holiday weeks are generally the slowest times in the market both in terms of activity and also news flow. With the 4th of July...
Where to Find Fireworks? We Go Looking.
As I sit here today in Massachusetts, socked in by a combination of Atlantic fog and Canadian smoke, it's tough to imagine a beautiful...
Free Call Options
This week I'm writing about a topic I like to refer to as "Free Call Options". Honestly, the name is a little misleading but...
Several Updates
Last week I wrote extensively about INmune Bio (INMB), my favorite stock idea heading into the second half of 2023. The numerous catalysts and...
The Spotlight Turns to INmune Bio…
When I initially got involved with INmune Bio (INMB), one of the first pieces I published on the company was titled, "INmune’s Efforts in...
Wrapping Up May
Writing this newsletter in on May 31st as I'm heading out to another graduation, this time in South Carolina. I've driven through the state,...
Keep The Faith…Rubber Eventually Meets Road
One of my readers has been leaving me a lot of messages about Anixa (ANIX) of late. The general gist of his communication is...
Back in the Saddle
Last week I took off from publishing as I was meant to be skiing out west. Well, not exactly skiing in the traditional sense...
Upcoming Catalysts For A Catalyst Driven Market
This week's newsletter is a mid-week job as I'm heading out to the west coast for some back country skiing on several volcanoes of...
This Time It’s Different!
My thesis heading into 2023 was to expect a trader's market. This looked to be a year filled with catalyst driven moves and high...
Anixa Delivers On The Data While The Stock Rollercoasters
A few weeks back I wrote about catalysts that weren't going to help your stocks. It was meant to be a little tongue in...
Coming Out Of Hibernation?
This past week saw very big gains in my two largest holdings, with Anixa (ANIX) trading up 34% and INmune Bio (INMB) closing up...
How Low Can It Go?
Not to spend too much time looking in the rear view mirror, but a note I got from BTIG this past week did a...
Three Months Down
If you like roller coasters, investing in TW's universe certainly gave you thrills in the first Q. Our portfolio was up 15% in January,...
3 Dot Lounge…
When I moved to San Francisco in 1989, Herb Caen was a renowned columnist for the San Francisco Chronicle. His was an unabashed lover...
Upcoming Catalysts (or, Meaningful Events That Probably Won’t Help Your Portfolio)
How do you know when you're in a bear market? The simplest answer is this, All News Is Bad. When a company puts out...
Black Swan Diving
Funding just got tougher.
My frequent description of TW's universe is that of "public venture capital". Our stocks share many of similarities with those companies...
INmune Bio: Things Turning For The Better
This past week was a surprisingly great week in TW's universe. I say surprisingly as, after watching INmune Bio (INMB) take a morning bath...
Market Tests Support…Here’s What To Do.
In the last two newsletters, I have been saying that the markets looked ready to move lower. More exactly, two weeks ago I said...
Execution is Key
A lot of market forecasters have been declaring this past week to have seen the end of the recent bull market. Having missed the...
Ruminating On INmune, Anixa and More
After a great start to the year, this last week the stock market reminded investors not to get too complacent. As I've said several...
Double Trouble
Last year I wrote an article comparing playing backgammon to investing. The key to success in backgammon is focusing on the doubling cube. Knowing...
Looking for 3-5X This Year? These Two Jackpot Stocks Offer That Potential
In 2022, interest rates killed micro-cap. This year, with increased expectations of a recession and an associated end of rate increases, the smaller stocks...
The January Halftime Report
It has been a great start to 2023, particularly for smaller, growth stocks. The most likely explanation for this is investor expectations regarding inflation...
For The TW Portfolio, Our FATE Awaits
This past week, thanks to a big move on Friday, saw the markets start the new year on a positive note. Investors increasingly believe...
The Light at the End of the Tunnel
In the hills just west of Charlottesville lies the Crozet Tunnel. Built in the mid 1800's, it was a major supply route in the...
Holiday Cheers!
in 2022 I will not be filling your inbox on Christmas Day, instead taking a week off from publishing. This will give everyone a...
Santa Claus Ain’t Coming To Town
Earnings and Interest Rates drive everything in the stock market. At the core of investing, this is all you need to know. When earnings...