Tailwinds' Newsletter brings you macro-oriented views on the latest global news.

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It’s Still The Early Innings

Two weeks ago this newsletter was titled, "Don't Fight The Fed". That week I discussed why the market was headed lower. The bottom line...

Stepping on Rakes

Last week was the second week in a row where the TW portfolio was basically unchanged. A sign that markets are calming down? Actually,...

It’s A Process

This past week in Charlottesville, The Boar's Head Women's Open took place. This is an annual tennis tournament featuring 32 professional tennis players, most...

How’s Your Balance (Sheet)?

The bear market rally has ended. I hope you enjoyed the reprieve but it's likely to get worse before it gets better. I am...

Your Home Is Worth What???

This weekend I'm out in California for a birthday party. The weather is warm, the streets are crowded and the houses are insanely priced....

The New Reality

"Change is the only constant in life" ~ Heraclitus On Friday morning the first thing that caught my eye on Twitter was the happy announcement...

Separating the Wheat From the Chaff

As war continues in the Ukraine the repercussions are just beginning to be felt globally. The longer this battle continues the more it will...

Buy The Rumor, Sell The News

Markets are a discounting mechanism. In real time they discount future actions. There are very few times that events catch the market by surprise....

This Trend is NOT Your Friend

Volodymyr Zelenskyy is a hero. Contrary to what I thought would happen last week, Ukraine is putting up a valiant battle, holding off the...

Putin It In Perspective

By the time you read this newsletter, there's a good chance that the Ukraine will be begging for a ceasefire and, basically, surrendering to...

Good News

There's been an ongoing joke in the TW Slack chat room. It goes like, "please tell not to issue any more bullish press...

End Game

Another wild week in the markets, which is simply par for the course. At this time investors are speculating over the number and timing...

Metamorphosis

What a week in the markets, right? The past five days saw the biggest ever one day loss by a single company, followed shortly...

This Week’s Billboard Headline…Glenn Mattes Stars As Rocky Balboa!

When we had kids I was super excited to watch classic movies with them once they were old enough. Top on my list was...

Welcome To The Terrordome

Stocks are down again. It's a bloodbath. The micro-cap/biotech selloff has spread like Omicron, affecting everything that trades. There is likely more to come. Because,...

ParkerVision’s Time is Nigh…

Knock me over with a feather but there's finally been some movement in the ParkerVision (PRKR) vs. Qualcomm (QCOM) trial in Orlando. This is...

Welcome to 2022?

So much for thinking 2022 was going to be an improvement over last year. Last Sunday I tested positive for covid then, on Monday,...

Happy New Year!!!

Investing in micro-cap stocks with a 3-5 year time horizon, which is my expectation for a holding period every time I enter a position,...

Who Believes? Santa Rally Coming…

Yesterday it was 70 degrees in Charlottesville. While playing platform tennis in a t-shirt and shorts, the comment was made that it seems unlikely...

No QUESTion, This Stock’s A Winner

The irony of it all. While many companies scour the planet searching for potential gold mines, there's a garbage dump in the UK containing...

Bottom Picking

My constant refrain for most of 2021 has been that I don't like the market but love the stocks in my portfolio. I can...

Turkey Shoot…December Preview

Well, that didn't last long, did it? On Tuesday and Wednesday we saw what looked like a great reversal for biotech. The XBI opened...

The Worst Bull Market Ever

Similar to how the richest billionaires are getting a disproportionate amount of the wealth in the US, the companies they founded are becoming an...

Three Non-Biotech Stocks

Higher interest rates and inflation are not good for long-term investment plays. When earnings are years out, a change in the discount rate can...

Asymmetric Risk

Intelligent investing can truly be boiled down to the understanding of risk and reward. In order to properly assess the potential risks of an...

Trick or Treat? October Review

Back when i was a kid, every Halloween the news covered stories of some whack job that would hand out apples to kids. The...

Training My Thoughts

Rode the train up to DC from Charlottesville on Friday night and, let me tell you, despite all the years and money thrown at...

$8 Paddle Balls?

The markets had a nice bounce late last week. This was sparked by the government getting its act together enough to kick the debt...

October Awaits

September to remember? I had such high hopes. Sadly, it turned out to be a very forgettable month and I'm happy to have it...

Cash is King

After several weeks of lower stock prices, the market this past week decided that the looming bankruptcy of the world's largest real estate debt...

When The Tide Goes Out, You See Who’s Swimming Naked…

The markets had another downward-trending week since the last newsletter. However, the overall tone of the market felt better from a micro-cap investing standpoint...

Rolling Over? Markets Look Toppy To Me…

As I wrote about last week, we are entering what is historically the worst stretch of time for the market. I'm not sure why...

A September To Remember?

I read this week where someone said, "the short story is always sexier." There's certainly a lot of truth in that. Here in September...

Small Caps Rebound…August Recap

I'm calling it a month. Normally, I'd wait until August is officially over before recapping things, but, since we only have two days of...

Old Fashioned Sunday

While the bankers and fund managers are heading out to the Hamptons for vacation, micro-cap earnings season kicked in last week and news flow...

Summer Stocks

The markets seem to be quieting down as summer heats up and traders are heading to the beach for the last few weeks of...

My Saturday Rant…

If you've been reading this newsletter for longer than two weeks, you likely have come to realize that I'm an investor not a trader....

Are We Having Fun Yet? Bull Ride Continues

The "bull" market continued this past week although it showed signs of tiring. Which is good because the bull ride we've been on resembles...

July About to Close With a Bang?

Last week wasn't a bad week for the markets at all. With a nice two day rally to end the week, the Russell 2000...

Back In The Torture Chamber

With the S&P 500 hitting new highs recently, continuing the rally from last March's lows, we are all having a great time, right? Uhhh,...

Kentucky Bluegrass

In a holiday shortened week, this newsletter comes from Kentucky where the TW household is attending a family wedding. Throw in a side journey...

Let’s Get Ready To Rumble (2nd Half Preview)

To steal a line from Charles Dickens, "It was the best of times. It was the worst of times. Then it was pretty darn...

Hoping for Fireworks

As the market seems to be slowly settling into summer, volatility is dropping and news flow is getting sparse. Amazing to think this is...

Put The Hammer Down…Backgammon Lessons

Back in February, on our trip to Miami, I was fortunate to be introduced to a friend of a friend named "Phil". Phil just...

Stock Picking Wins This Week

It was another great week for TW as the pendulum appears to be swinging full speed in our direction. This while the overall market...

Oregon Trails

Greetings from Ashland, Oregon where my tour of the west coast is ending in fine fashion. The biking here is outstanding, the meals our...

Reversal of Fortune

The pendulum had swung too far. Simply put, companies that are funded and executing on their gameplan cannot go down forever. Eventually they find...

Gas Lines and Inflation…Is This The 80’s?

This past week saw yet another ugly market for micro-caps as the whole investment community seems to be increasingly worried about inflation and interest...

The Beatings Will Continue Until Morale Improves…

Okay, I was early. I admit it. But, unless growth stocks never rally again, biotech in particular, I'm 100% convinced that buying at these...

Alpha-Bet Soup

There are times when stock picking isn't the most important part of your investment strategy. When all that matters is being in the right...
DFC Advisory Services LLC (dba TW Research Group) is an investment adviser. We are also compensated for publishing information on certain companies. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.